Ahead of the Curve

Options Friday

Vince explores the world of options with Michael Thomsett. He has released two books, one on options and the other on candlesticks. What happens when an option is called away? How does the OCC provide an efficient market? Is their a strategy that maximizes carryover losses? How can you use options to enter a trade? What about a dividend capture strategy? Which kinds of stocks work for straddles? How do you evaluate the risk reward on an options strategy? How does option expiration affect the strategy? What are the two factors that determine the max profit? Where can you find implied volatility information? How does the market affect the values? Do candlesticks work with options?

Price patterns as shown by candlesticks apply to all time frames. Look for confirmation in the other time frames. Candlesticks help with the fine tuning of the entry and exits. His books use the daily time frame. What is the option strategy that Michael likes? Why does it work well for day trading? How do you size the position? How does a credit spread work? What is the risk from time? Positions can be closed or covered before expiration. Why are calendar spreads so popular? What is time decay value on an option? Remember paper trading is only to learn how to pull the levers, not the emotional side of trading. Unfortunately, some losses are required in every traders education.

Seven Steps to Trading Success

Vince welcomes Toni Turner to explain trading. What are the Seven Steps to Success? How frustrating has the recent market action been? Do you need to trade ever day? News is impacting market in unpredictable ways. Toni starts going through the seven steps of trading success. Why finding your place is a critical first step? Do your fundamental homework and start papertrading. Develop premarket routine.Visit here website.

Toni returns to discuss FOREX trading. Maybe a result of globalization and better knowledge of FOREX. What are the three indicators that Toni uses? Volume is as important as price. How can moving averages help? How well do gap strategies work here? ATR is important for planning price forecasts. Does the market move stocks or do stocks move the market? Is tick and TRIN useful here? What about the put call ratio?

What are the neural nets saying?

Vince and David Buffalo review swing trading opportunities. INP is the first up for review. EWP is the ETF for Brazil. These have been showing up on the screens. David is using 5 to 15 day timeframe for trades. Remember to set exit at target price, harvest your profits. How will the SEC handle the Flash Crash? David comments on the indexes being at major support levels. Use this time to do homework on selecting trades when the volume returns after a trend emerges after Labor Day.

Oil drillers at critical support levels too. What is a benchmark day? Was yesterday one? IMO is discussed with price targets. Not a bull market or a bear market! Is Russia still an emerging economy? Is China turning inward for capital? Major move in FOREX this morning? Employment numbers will impact Euro this week. How far could the Yen climb? What is the monthly numbers saying? Listen for neural net output.

Craziest market in 40 years!

Vince and Oliver Juergens start the week. Craziest market in 40 years. Central bank intervention? Large number of greater than 90% up or down volume days! Why are people so nervous around the world? Outlook forecast still holding up? Analysts too negative? September a weak month historically. Is the Baltic Dry Index still useful? Is BID still a good measure of free liquidity? What about the relationship between QQQQ,SPY,DIA? What does the Hindenburg Omen predict? How reliable is the prediction? Can there be more than one in a six month period? How low does TBT go? How long can the Fed keep them down? Long enough to prevent double dip recession?

Vince announces changes to access to PearlFisher newsletters. What is up with the Bond Bubble theme? What happens to those folks going into bonds? Government debt will be theme for this decade. Japan in a tight spot because of debt servicing. How much higher can the 10 year Treasury go? Can the Yen help us predict this level? What is the 12 month range for USD? How is this in relation to the Euro? What are the CDS levels saying? Who makes the market in CDSs? What are the new positions for PearlFisher? How did the projected decline in CPI impact the new positions? How quickly do prices change after the breakout? Why Silver? How much of a factor is liquidity? Shift from equities to metals causing price run? Any trends developing?

When being different is OK

Vince is joined by Josh Betancourt to explain alternative investments. Vince details his research and his conclusions. What investment objectives can managed futures meet? What is a CTA? What markets can he participate in? Are these products regulated? Who has custody of the account? What benchmark is used to measure CTA performance? What criteria are used to select a CTA? Do multiple strategies increase risk? How do you manage gut instinct? What is the edge in todays market? What is the current state of the commodities market?

Vince relates that Pearlfisher has added a couple of positions. Josh continues explaining managed futures and CTAs. What indicators are they using to trade? Are there tax benefits to managed futures? What about Roth conversions? Which products does Josh prefer? What is spread trading? When does it work best? What factor does news play in these systems? What is needed for the economy to recover? What happens for the rest of the year?

Elliott Wave and the near future

Vince explores the Elliot Wave Theory with Steve Hochberg. What are the true drivers behind price changes? Why is Elliot Wave the best model? Does it work all the time? Is it specific to a time frame? An asset class? Are Fibs part of the Elliot Wave Theory? How can there be different interpretations on the theory? How difficult is it to apply? Where can you get more info? What is the theory saying about the market? Is there a downside to safety? How do the fundamentals play out here? Check out the new idea of socionomics.

Bill Brinson joins Vince to further explore wave theory. Why are so many bonds coming to market? What are the alternatives to bonds? Movement into oil and gas funds? Some are tax free. Do your research! What is the top on silver? How can you own a precious metal? Why are the large bond funds holding 20% cash? Where does gold see resistance? More mergers in the commodities companies? How low does BofA go? What about the financials?

Why swing trading makes sense

Vince and David Buffalo join minds to explore the nuances of swing trading. Did yesterdays increased volume help to forecast where the market is going? Did the breaking of support on the SP500 signal a reversal? Can price patterns from the past help us understand todays market? David and Vince discuss value based models and their recent performance. Is todays market cheap on a historical valuation basis? How should you spend your time when your model has you out of the market? What about the financials? Home builders? Biotech?

David explains why he migrated to swing trading. What are the disadvantages of buy and hold in the coming investment environment? Vince discusses railroads and David examines coal. What are the highs for the Euro? What are the advantages of currency trading? Time to sell the Yen? What do the fibs say about the low?

Cheap money always leads to a Bubble!

Vince is joined by Oliver Juergens. What will it take to pay down the national debt? Can the Fed limit the interest rates on the long end? Another Japan? How does the election cycle affect the outlook? Cheap money leads to a bubble! We have seen several bubbles over the last decade fueled by low interest rates. When does the long term interest rate cycle kick in? What about bonds? Why are companies selling bonds with 100 year terms? Why are veteran hedge fund managers leaving? Why low volumes are impacting large firms?

Why is volume so low? When volume picks up will the trend emerge? How are the N11 countries doing? How bad can the Yen get before it hurts Japanese exporters? What is going on with coffee? Just seasonality? Time to watch gold? Flight from sovereign debt? Could the BOJ devalue the Yen? Time to leave the US? Time for Federal government to start hiring? Socialism versus Communism? Oil and Equities have been tracking very close. Is the Chinese market turning around? News to watch is next CPI release. Expecting negative numbers. Can equities rise in deflationary market?

Does the market return to normal in the Fall?

Vince is joined by Bill Brinson to discuss the week. Bill explains that losing trades can be the best teacher. What is the target the Fed is shooting for? How critical is volume here? Are there alternatives to bonds for monthly income? Is cash still a good place to be? How has the flash crash impacted market action? Does the market return to normal in the Fall? What is the first thing managers do when they return in September? Which market leaders should you watch?

Bill cautions about mixing the long term with the short term. Lots of mixed signals affecting the markets. Double dip? Will quantitative easing work? Is there recovery in the real estate market coming? How should a new investor approach the market? What types of investments should be in your 401K? Where is support for the Dow? When will growth stocks be a good buy? Predictions for next week. Why are pro investors leaving the market? Bill explains MLPs. They have favorable tax treatment. When should you sell? Lots of MA activity in commodities? Good for overall market?

Gold decoupling from fundamentals!

Oliver Juergens joins Vince to review the week ahead and recap lessons from this week. What was Olivers impression from the meetings this week? What are the sentiment indicators showing? What is gold saying here? When could the CPI turn negative? Has the money multiplier gone down? Why are banks not lending? Flash crash a deliberate move by major market participants? Liquidity crisis in Europe prompts central bank intervention. Trading volume at 100 year lows! Impact to financial sector? Trading desk cannot make up for commission losses. Vince relates how 30 year hedge fund managers are closing shop because of crazy markets this summer. Oliver explains why going to cash was smart. Bottom in equities volume? Record volumes in bonds! What is the magic 10 year rate for the Fed? Is this global? How quickly will this move? Can you get out easily? Why is no one talking about the bond bubble? How long can the bonds run? Could low rates help the US economy? Do the banks want to lend now? What is the Analog Bubble Theory? What about Japan?

Oliver returns to discuss the Hindenburg Omen. What is it and how can you use it? How good of an indicator is it? Can we get more than one? Dont the Japanese own most of their debt? What about from here to end of September? What are the majority of the indicators reading? How overbought is the bond market? Vince explains why transparency is very important to managing his clients money. He explains how he uses all the asset classes to meet clients needs. What about the size of the account? Should you shift away from a US centric approach? How does managed futures fit in?