Globalization « Ahead of the Curve

Craziest market in 40 years!

Vince and Oliver Juergens start the week. Craziest market in 40 years. Central bank intervention? Large number of greater than 90% up or down volume days! Why are people so nervous around the world? Outlook forecast still holding up? Analysts too negative? September a weak month historically. Is the Baltic Dry Index still useful? Is [...]

Cheap money always leads to a Bubble!

Vince is joined by Oliver Juergens. What will it take to pay down the national debt? Can the Fed limit the interest rates on the long end? Another Japan? How does the election cycle affect the outlook? Cheap money leads to a bubble! We have seen several bubbles over the last decade fueled by low [...]

Gold decoupling from fundamentals!

Oliver Juergens joins Vince to review the week ahead and recap lessons from this week. What was Olivers impression from the meetings this week? What are the sentiment indicators showing? What is gold saying here? When could the CPI turn negative? Has the money multiplier gone down? Why are banks not lending? Flash crash a [...]

FOREX Swing trading?

Vince welcomes David Buffalo. What happens with the 10 year US Treasury? 100 year lows? How quick will the interest rates turn? David illustrates what may happen to safe money. What does the market do over the next weeks? What external factors could impact the market? What are the tools to trade a break down [...]

Trading skills for FOREX

Vince is joined by Bill Whisenant. His new paper discusses price action and how to use it to make money. What are the tools that Bill uses for FOREX? Make sure three timeframes show the trend in the direction of your planned trade. Where are the speedbumps as price move up or down? Are trend [...]

Something magic about Dow 10000?

David Buffalo returns to explain advanced trading techniques and analysis. Lots of volatility on low volume. Something magic about Dow 10000? David is seeing approaching divergence in momentum indicators. No real trend until traders back after Labor Day. David discusses FDX as a proxy for good news in the transport sector. Next up is XLF [...]

Deflation starting to bite?

Bill Brinson and Oliver Juergens discuss the next week in the market. Frannie and Freddie news is affecting the market. Oliver dissects the recent rally and implications for the future. What seasonal factors are in force? Where do interest rates go short term? How long will the Fed keep real rates at zero? Lumber and [...]

The Negative Decade!

Advanced trading is the topic today. Bill Brinson and Vince explains some of the techniques they use? Is buy and hold relevant today? Should we worry about deflation? Does that imply techniques that are different from the last decades? Explore all the investments available in the 401K! Great example of using a hedge to protect [...]

Is the Market using new math?

Vince welcomes Oliver for the weekly PearlFisher update. Oliver finds some seasonal factors which may be the reason for the price action today. Trend since April is down. Is this rally, a shift in trend? Which economic cycle are we? Late in the recovery from macro indicators? Vince notes the Euro US equity correlation has [...]

What is the PBGC and why you should care!

Bill Brinson joins Vince to talk markets and pensions. The health of the PBGC is discussed. Essentially guarantees a minimum payment. Has PBGC gone broke? Bill explains AARP and its business model are discussed. Source Capital(SOR) is explained by Bill. It is a Closed End Trust that focuses on mid-cap value. Why does it trade [...]

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