Oliver Juergens joins Vince to explain changes to the PearlFisher portfolio. Also announcing a new indicator. Did the European stress tests achieve the purpose? What factors were important? Is the methodology meaningful? Do they simulate current flash crash type events? US and European markets are tightly coupled. However, there are differences in how they implement monetary policy. How high is too high for public sector employment? Oliver relates some research on price action similar to here. The gold position in the PearlFisher portfolio is still in force. Positions to the down side have been changed. What is the medium to long term forecast? Best timeframe to trade? What economic phase are we in? Negative CPI by end of year?
Oliver relates his research on an indicator which may be useful here. When was the last flash crash? What movie was released back then that may have been a contrary indicator? What is happening with the recent dollar rally? How major can the surprise price changes be? What is the professional put to call ratio saying? Are the hedge funds on vacation here? Problems in Hungarian debt? What impact does China have here? In the next decade? What about India? Has their growth been critical to the global economy? Is sugar a good investment here? Oliver points out that deflation will impact commodities. How much further before resistance? What is the dominant trend? What was the message from Bernanke? How does Oliver select which indicators are valid for the present term? Which ones are working now? How will volatility affect the model in the future? What to expect over next 12 months?
