Ahead of the Curve

FOREX Swing trading?

Vince welcomes David Buffalo. What happens with the 10 year US Treasury? 100 year lows? How quick will the interest rates turn? David illustrates what may happen to safe money. What does the market do over the next weeks? What external factors could impact the market? What are the tools to trade a break down in prices? What is the strategy for the Yen? David is in wait and see mode. David provides a projection for gold if there is a breakout.

David discusses the results from the neural nets. AMTD is reviewed. What impact is the low volume having here? How liquid is FOREX? What about the US Dollar and inflation? Deflation? What are the trading instruments in a deflationary environment? Why is patience important in trading? How about position sizing? Good tips for trading news!

Waiting for Hanging Man Doji

Vince is joined Oliver Juergens to update us on the outlook ahead. Bonds and the Yen are highly correlated the last several months. What about the low volume? Record flows into bond mutual funds. What happens when rates go up? Have investors been trained to buy bonds to protect principal? Is this a top in bonds? Watch for Japanese debt to scare the global market. The Yen is also looking frothy here. What are the magic numbers for the Yen? Waiting for Hanging Man Doji. Putting lipstick on this pig wont help! Can money be made the rest of the year? How about precious metals? Pros shifting out of bonds into precious metals. Are copper inventories too high? Too late for wheat trade? How does the Euro trade from here? What happens to Euro if Yen heads south? What about the bid to cover ratio on US Bonds? How has the Chinese market been doing? Check your exposure to interest rate risk from bonds, market will move quickly when it turns!

Bill Brinson joins for the second half. Are TIPS a good deal here? How do they work with deflation? What about the quantitative easing by the Fed? Are they out of ammo? Is this a flight to safety? Dividends above 6%, reduce the price after payment. How many bad news events will it take to reinstate the trend? What about Financials? What garbage is in their portfolio still? Homebuilding is still way off historical numbers. What about the emerging markets? China has a lot of mouths to feed. Like having a wolf by the ears! Does China implode like the Soviet Union? What changes are needed to fix the housing crisis? Good discussion of Canadian home market. Time to invest overseas? Has Europe fixed their problems? Is the US lagging relative to the world? Are strikes in Europe signaling inflation? Impact from unemployment in the US? Is 10% the new norm? Time to think about tax planning?

Managed futures for stability

Vince is joined by Joshua Betancourt of QCI. Josh explains managed futures and their tax advantages. What is the amount taxed at 15%? Why were commodities futures created? What is the underlying asset classes? How does Josh select managers? What types of strategies do these managers use? What types of regulatory organizations supervise the trading? How liquid are these assets? Is QCI different from a hedge fund or fund of funds? What exchanges does Josh use? Can you lose it all? How much leverage is OK? What due diligence is required before investing? What is the maximum drawdown allowed?

What is the worst case scenario? Are there ways to minimize this risk? Does the macro view of the market affect the managers selected? Is margin to equity ratio an important metric? Are there other performance metrics? What types of fees are involved? Does Josh use one strategy only? How are ETFs and managed futures different? What type of market is Josh expecting? What part does the consumer play here? When does the market start moving again? Josh will be in Houston and Dallas this week. Check out vincerowe dot biz for Dallas sign up.

Trading skills for FOREX

Vince is joined by Bill Whisenant. His new paper discusses price action and how to use it to make money. What are the tools that Bill uses for FOREX? Make sure three timeframes show the trend in the direction of your planned trade. Where are the speedbumps as price move up or down? Are trend lines more important than support and resistance? How can you increase the probabilities of a profitable trade? Bill gives an example of using the Euro Dollar pair to determine entries and exits. How do fib ratios project price moves? Remember to harvest your profit! How much risk should each trade involve? What other factors will determine which system you use? How can you use mini and micro contracts to control risk? How is profit and loss calculated? What trades should you take based on this ratio?

Bill and Vince discuss long term trading ideas. Bill points out that the 50 day MA is below the 200 day MA for most global indexes. Historically, this has signaled a downtrend. FOREX and equities are linked. This should be used as confirmation not as a primary signal. Which timeframes are better for some traders? Why do you have to use multiple timeframes? How can you confirm the strength or weakness of support or resistance? Where does news fit into the trade plan? Bill gives an example of how he trades. Should you carry a trade through news events? Bill discusses possible moves in the Yen Dollar.

What determines the price of something?

Vince and Bill Brinson discuss the news impacting the market. How should you get started in investing? Vince points out that patience is the key. Bill recaps market action since January. Is it OK to exit then reenter an asset? Why are bonds still rallying? Bill explains why it is important to stay with the trend. Has the Gold US Dollar correlation broken? What is the difference between the markets of 1960s and now? Are central banks influencing the price of their currency? Can the Euro be propped up for long? What is bid and ask? Why is price the king? The price of something is what someone is willing to pay. Can the Fed lower interest rates by buying securities? Does this blowback with higher inflation later on?

Vince relates why he does the show and a nice comment he received recently. What are the issues with structured notes? Have things gotten out of control recently? Has the credit risk changed in the last 5 years? Can you buy insurance against default? Are universities a credit risk? What is an investment grade gold coin? The problems with physical gold and the buy sell spread. What is the rise in wheat saying? Can you avoid doing your homework? What about the rise in volume the last two days? Bill talks about a website that reports on strategic threats around the globe. The global debt issues of other nations implies big problems in the future.

Waiting on Labor Day!

Vince is joined by David Buffalo. David explains swing trading and advanced trading system design. David updates on South Carolina politics. Is the Fed holding up the market? What is David expecting for the next couple of weeks? Is the Fed monetizing the debt? Problems for the dollar? What is monthly momentum saying? Buy the dip or sell the rally? Lousy risk reward here? Not time to take high risk! The neural nets kicked out DLTR. David details the price action in the last two weeks. Retail sector moving in positive direction. What are the major factors until December? TBT and TLT are reviewed. Time to refinance? David and Vince explain why interest rates will rise.

David explains how to trade a gap. What is the first goal of trading? David explains why there have been few trades recently. What change is David planning for his model? How fast will prices move? What key points should you watch for? What about the Euro? Is the Yen in a similar boat? The Pound is discussed next. Several currencies at critical pivot points. Gold is hostage to the dollar!

Another look at Fed Statement (8-10-10)

Money is made at the extremes!

Vince is joined by Kirk Northington , author of Volatility Based Technical Analysis. Kirk has been a trader since 2003. Kirk points out that each trader has to find his own path. What was the question Kirk kept having? Does volatility trading still work? What is the real trading environment that each trader faces with algo trading? Why is volatility an important measure? How do you select indicators? How do you use them? Money is made at the extremes!

Kirk returns to delve deeper into volatility. How are stops set with volatility? Is trend following a part of the system? Kirk provides MetaSwing plugin for MetaStock. He also has tools in the book and provides other software. What is trading the invisible? What is PIV? Kirk describes how he uses it. How does Kirk use the FABRIC indicator? What are the essential indicators to a system? How to determine exit? What types does Kirk propose? Does he use the broad market? Volatility? How long before a trader can master these techniques? Vince comments that video games may be the future look of trading. Visit the website.